Category Archives: The Wilmott Magazine

My published (or soon to be published) column pieces in The Wilmott Magazine

Risk – Wiley FinCAD Webinar

This post is an edited version of my responses in a Webinar panel-discussion organized by Wiley-Finance and FinCAD. The freely available Webcast is linked in the post, and contains responses from the other participants — Paul Wilmott and Espen Huag. An expanded version of this post may later appear as an article in the Wilmott Magazine.

What is Risk?

When we use the word Risk in normal conversation, it has a negative connotation — risk of getting hit by a car, for instance; but not the risk of winning a lottery. In finance, risk is both positive and negative. At times, you want the exposure to a certain kind of risk to counterbalance some other exposure; at times, you are looking for the returns associated with a certain risk. Risk, in this context, is almost identical to the mathematical concept of probability.

But even in finance, you have one kind of risk that is always negative — it is Operational Risk. My professional interest right now is in minimizing the operational risk associated with trading and computational platforms.

How do you measure Risk?

Measuring risk ultimately boils down to estimating the probability of a loss as a function of something — typically the intensity of the loss and time. So it’s like asking — What’s the probability of losing a million dollars or two million dollars tomorrow or the day after?

The question whether we can measure risk is another way of asking whether we can figure out this probability function. In certain cases, we believe we can — in Market Risk, for instance, we have very good models for this function. Credit Risk is different story — although we thought we could measure it, we learned the hard way that we probably could not.

The question how effective the measure is, is, in my view, like asking ourselves, “What do we do with a probability number?” If I do a fancy calculation and tell you that you have 27.3% probability of losing one million tomorrow, what do you do with that piece of information? Probability has a reasonable meaning only a statistical sense, in high-frequency events or large ensembles. Risk events, almost by definition, are low-frequency events and a probability number may have only limited practical use. But as a pricing tool, accurate probability is great, especially when you price instruments with deep market liquidity.

Innovation in Risk Management.

Innovation in Risk comes in two flavors — one is on the risk taking side, which is in pricing, warehousing risk and so on. On this front, we do it well, or at least we think we are doing it well, and innovation in pricing and modeling is active. The flip side of it is, of course, risk management. Here, I think innovation lags actually behind catastrophic events. Once we have a financial crisis, for instance, we do a post-mortem, figure out what went wrong and try to implement safety guards. But the next failure, of course, is going to come from some other, totally, unexpected angle.

What is the role of Risk Management in a bank?

Risk taking and risk management are two aspects of a bank’s day-to-day business. These two aspects seem in conflict with each other, but the conflict is no accident. It is through fine-tuning this conflict that a bank implements its risk appetite. It is like a dynamic equilibrium that can be tweaked as desired.

What is the role of vendors?

In my experience, vendors seem to influence the processes rather than the methodologies of risk management, and indeed of modeling. A vended system, however customizable it may be, comes with its own assumptions about the workflow, lifecycle management etc. The processes built around the system will have to adapt to these assumptions. This is not a bad thing. At the very least, popular vended systems serve to standardize risk management practices.

Risk: Interpretation, Innovation and Implementation

A Wiley Global Finance roundtable with Paul Wilmott

Featuring Paul Wilmott, Espen Haug and Manoj Thulasidas


How do you identify, measure and model risk, and more importantly, what changes need to be implemented to improve the long-term profitability and sustainability of our financial institutions? Take a unique opportunity to join globally recognised and respected experts in the field, Paul Wilmott, Espen Haug and Manoj Thulasidas in a free, one hour online roundtable discussion to debate the key issues and to find answers to questions to improve financial risk modelling.

Join our experts as they address these fundamental financial risk questions:

  • What is risk?
  • How do we measure and quantify risk in quantitative finance? Is this effective?
  • Is it possible to model risk?
  • Define innovation in risk management. Where does it take place? Where should it take place?
  • How do new ideas see the light of day? How are they applied to the industry, and how should they be applied?
  • How is risk management implemented in modern investment banking? Is there a better way?

Our panel of internationally respected experts include Dr Paul Wilmott, founder of the prestigious Certificate in Quantitative Finance (CQF) and, Editor-in-Chief of Wilmott Magazine, and author of highly acclaimed books including the best-selling Paul Wilmott On Quantitative Finance; Dr Espen Gaarder Haug who has more than 20 years of experience in Derivatives research and trading and is author of The Complete Guide of Option Pricing Formulas and Derivatives: Models on Models; and Dr Manoj Thulasidas, a physicist-turned-quant who works as a senior quantitative professional at Standard Chartered Bank in Singapore and is author of Principles of Quantitative Development.

This debate will be critical for all chief risk officers, credit and market risk managers, asset liability managers, financial engineers, front office traders, risk analysts, quants and academics.

Physics vs. Finance

Despite the richness that mathematics imparts to life, it remains a hated and difficult subject to many. I feel that the difficulty stems from the early and often permanent disconnect between math and reality. It is hard to memorize that the reciprocals of bigger numbers are smaller, while it is fun to figure out that if you had more people sharing a pizza, you get a smaller slice. Figuring out is fun, memorizing — not so much. Mathematics, being a formal representation of the patterns in reality, doesn’t put too much emphasis on the figuring out part, and it is plain lost on many. Bu ifadeyi matematiksel hassasiyetle tekrarlamak,,en,matematik sözdizimsel olarak zengin ve titizdir,,en,ama anlamsal olarak zayıf,,en,Sözdizimi kendi üzerine inşa edilebilir,,en,ve sık sık anlamsal binicilerinden asi bir at gibi sallanır,,en,Daha da kötüsü,,en,birbirinden çok farklı görünen farklı anlamsal biçimlere dönüşebilir,,en,Bir öğrencinin karmaşık sayıları fark etmesi birkaç yıl alır.,,en,vektör cebiri,,en,koordinat geometrisi,,en,doğrusal cebir ve trigonometri, Öklid geometrisinin temelde farklı sözdizimsel tanımlarıdır.,,en,Matematikte başarılı olanlar,,en,sanıyorum ki,,en,görünüşte vahşi sözdizimsel canavarı dizginlemek için kendi anlamsal bakış açılarını geliştirenler,,en,Fizik ayrıca ileri matematiğin boş biçimciliğine güzel anlamsal bağlamlar sağlayabilir.,,en,Minkowski uzayına ve Riemann geometrisine bakın,,en — math is syntactically rich and rigorous, but semantically weak. Syntax can build on itself, and often shake off its semantic riders like an unruly horse. Worse, it can metamorphose into different semantic forms that look vastly different from one another. It takes a student a few years to notice that complex numbers, vector algebra, coordinate geometry, linear algebra and trigonometry are all essentially different syntactical descriptions of Euclidean geometry. Those who excel in mathematics are, I presume, the ones who have developed their own semantic perspectives to rein in the seemingly wild syntactical beast.

Physics also can provide beautiful semantic contexts to the empty formalisms of advanced mathematics. Look at Minkowski space and Riemannian geometry, for instance, ve Einstein onları algılanan gerçekliğimizin tanımlarına nasıl dönüştürdü?,,en,Matematiksel formalizme anlambilim sağlamaya ek olarak,,en,bilim aynı zamanda eleştirel düşünceye ve son derece titiz bir bilimsel bütünlüğe dayanan bir dünya görüşünü teşvik eder,,en,Birinin sonuçlarını inceleme tavrıdır,,en,Kendini hiçbir şeyin gözden kaçırılmadığına ikna etmek için acımasızca varsayımlar ve hipotezler,,en,Bu sinir bozucu saplantı hiçbir yerde deneysel fizikte olduğundan daha belirgin değil,,en,Fizikçiler ölçümlerini iki set hata ile rapor ediyor,,en,sadece sınırlı sayıda gözlem yaptıkları gerçeğini temsil eden istatistiksel bir hata,,en,ve metodolojideki yanlışlıkları hesaba katması beklenen sistematik bir hata,,en,varsayımlar vb.,,en. In addition to providing semantics to mathematical formalism, science also promotes a worldview based on critical thinking and a ferociously scrupulous scientific integrity. It is an attitude of examining one’s conclusions, assumptions and hypotheses mercilessly to convince oneself that nothing has been overlooked. Nowhere is this nitpicking obsession more evident than in experimental physics. Physicists report their measurements with two sets of errors — a statistical error representing the fact that they have made only a finite number of observations, and a systematic error that is supposed to account for the inaccuracies in methodology, assumptions etc.

Bu bilimsel bütünlüğün karşılığına ormanın boynunda bakmayı ilginç bulabiliriz.,,en,stokastik analizin sözdizimsel yapısını dolar ve sent anlambilimiyle süsleyen,,en,yıllık raporlarda yer alan ve performans ikramiyeleri oluşturan türden,,en,Hatta bir bütün olarak küresel ekonomi üzerinde derin bir etkisi olduğu söylenebilir.,,en,Bu etki göz önüne alındığında,,en,sonuçlarımıza hataları ve güven düzeylerini nasıl atarız,,en,Bir örnekle açıklamak için,,en,Bir ticaret sistemi, bir ticaretin P / L'sini,,en,yedi milyon,,en,bu mu,,en,yoksa öyle mi,,en,İkincisi,,en,Açıkça,,en,finans kurumu için daha fazla değere sahiptir ve eskisinden daha fazla ödüllendirilmelidir,,en,Bunun farkındayız,,en,Hataları, getirilerin oynaklığı ve hassasiyetleri açısından tahmin ediyor ve P / L rezervlerini uyguluyoruz,,en — quantitative finance, which decorates the syntactical edifice of stochastic calculus with dollar-and-cents semantics, of a kind that ends up in annual reports and generates performance bonuses. One might even say that it has a profound impact on the global economy as a whole. Given this impact, how do we assign errors and confidence levels to our results? To illustrate it with an example, when a trading system reports the P/L of a trade as, say, seven million, is it $7,000,000 +/- $5,000,000 or is it $7,000, 000 +/- $5000? The latter, clearly, holds more value for the financial institution and should be rewarded more than the former. We are aware of it. We estimate the errors in terms of the volatility and sensitivities of the returns and apply P/L reserves. Ancak diğer sistematik hataları nasıl ele alacağız,,en,Varsayımlarımızın piyasa likiditesi üzerindeki etkisini nasıl ölçebiliriz?,,en,bilgi simetrisi vb.,,en,ve ortaya çıkan hatalara dolar değerleri atayın,,en,Bunun hata yaymaları konusunda titiz olsaydık,,en,belki mali kriz,,en,ortaya çıkmazdı,,en,Matematikçiler olmasına rağmen,,en,Genel olarak,,en,fizikçiler gibi kritik kişisel şüphelerden uzak,,en,tam da sözdizimsel sihirbazlıkları ile anlamsal bağlamları arasındaki tam bir kopukluk nedeniyle,,en,varsayımlarının geçerliliğini neredeyse çok ciddiye alan bazıları var,,en,Bize matematiksel tümevarımı öğreten hocamı hatırlıyorum,,en,Tahtada kullanarak bazı küçük teoremi kanıtladıktan sonra,,en,evet beyaz tahta çağından önceydi,,en,kanıtlayıp kanıtlamadığını sordu,,en,Dedik,,en? How do we measure the impact of our assumptions on market liquidity, information symmetry etc., and assign dollar values to the resulting errors? If we had been scrupulous about error propagations of this, perhaps the financial crisis of 2008 would not have come about.

Although mathematicians are, in general, free of such critical self-doubts as physicists — precisely because of a total disconnect between their syntactical wizardry and its semantic contexts, in my opinion — there are some who take the validity of their assumptions almost too seriously. I remember this professor of mine who taught us mathematical induction. After proving some minor theorem using it on the blackboard (yes it was before the era of whiteboards), he asked us whether he had proved it. We said, sure, tam önümüzde yapmıştı,,en,Sonra dedi,,en,"Ah,,en,ama matematiksel tümevarımın doğru olup olmadığını kendinize sormalısınız. " Onu harika bir matematikçi olarak düşünürsem,,en,belki de geçmiş öğretmenlerimizi yücelten ortak romantik fantezimiz yüzündendir,,en,Ama yüceltmemdeki olası yanılgının tanınmasının, ifadesiyle ektiği tohumların doğrudan bir sonucu olduğuna kesinlikle eminim.,,en,Profesörüm bu kendinden şüphe duyma işini çok ileri götürmüş olabilir.,,en,rasyonelliğimizin ve mantığımızın zeminini sorgulamak belki de sağlıklı veya pratik değildir.,,en,Daha da önemlisi, ulaştığımız sonuçların mantıklı olmasını sağlamaktır.,,en,emrimizdeki müthiş sözdizimsel makineleri kullanmak,,en. He then said, “Ah, but you should ask yourselves if mathematical induction is right.” If I think of him as a great mathematician, it is perhaps only because of the common romantic fancy of ours that glorifies our past teachers. But I am fairly certain that the recognition of the possible fallacy in my glorification is a direct result of the seeds he planted with his statement.

My professor may have taken this self-doubt business too far; it is perhaps not healthy or practical to question the very backdrop of our rationality and logic. What is more important is to ensure the sanity of the results we arrive at, employing the formidable syntactical machinery at our disposal. Sağlıklı bir kendinden şüphe etme tutumunu sürdürmenin tek yolu ve bunun sonucunda ortaya çıkan akıl sağlığı kontrolleri, gerçeklik kalıpları ile matematikteki biçimcilikler arasındaki bağlantıyı kıskançlıkla korumaktır.,,en,Ve şu,,en,aynı zamanda matematik aşkı geliştirmenin doğru yolu olabilir,,en,Matematik ve Desenler,,en,Çoğu çocuk kalıpları sever,,en,Matematik sadece kalıptır,,en,Hayat böyle,,en,sadece hayatı tanımlamanın resmi bir yoludur,,en,ya da en azından hayatta karşılaştığımız kalıplar,,en,Hayat arasındaki bağlantı,,en,desenler ve matematik korunabilir,,en,çocukların matematiği sevmesi gerektiği sonucu çıkar,,en,Ve matematik aşkı analitik bir yetenek oluşturmalı,,en,ya da matematiksel yetenek dediğim şey,,en,çoğu şeyi iyi anlamak ve yapmak,,en,Bir bağlantı yazdım,,en,üç şey birkaç cümle önce,,en. And that, in my opinion, would be the right way to develop a love for math as well.

Math and Patterns

Most kids love patterns. Math is just patterns. So is life. Math, therefore, is merely a formal way of describing life, or at least the patterns we encounter in life. If the connection between life, patterns and math can be maintained, it follows that kids should love math. And love of math should generate an analytic ability (or what I would call a mathematical ability) to understand and do most things well. For instance, I wrote of a connection “between” three things a couple of sentences ago. İngilizce kötü olması gerektiğini biliyorum çünkü bir üçgenin üç köşesini görüyorum ve sonra tek bir bağlantı anlamsız,,en,İyi bir yazar muhtemelen içgüdüsel olarak daha iyi ifade eder,,en,Benim gibi bir matematik yazarı, kelimenin,,en,bu bağlamda yeterince iyi,,en,yarattığı gramer duygunuzdaki bilinçaltı kavanozu telafi edilebilir veya gündelik yazılarda göz ardı edilebilir,,en,Onu bir kitapta veya yayımlanmış bir köşede bırakmazdım,,en,bunun dışında çünkü onu vurgulamak istiyorum.,,en,Demek istediğim, çok sayıda şeyi oldukça iyi yapmama izin veren şeyin matematiğe olan sevgim olması.,,en,Bir yazar olarak,,en,Oldukça iyi yaptım,,en,Ama başarımı edebi yetenekten çok belirli bir matematik yeteneğine bağlıyorum,,en,Bir kitaba asla böyle bir şeyle başlamazdım,,en. A good writer would probably put it better instinctively. A mathematical writer like me would realize that the word “between” is good enough in this context — the subliminal jar on your sense of grammar that it creates can be compensated for or ignored in casual writing. I wouldn’t leave it standing in a book or a published column (except this one because I want to highlight it.)

My point is that it is my love for math that lets me do a large number of things fairly well. As a writer, for instance, I have done rather well. But I attribute my success to a certain mathematical ability rather than literary talent. I would never start a book with something like, “En güzel zamanlardı,,en,en kötü zamanlardı.,,en,Bir açılış cümlesi olarak,,en,kendim için formüle ettiğim tüm matematiksel yazım kurallarına göre,,en,bu sadece ölçülmez,,en,Yine de hepimiz Dickens'ın açıldığını biliyoruz,,en,hiçbir kuralıma uymamak,,en,İngiliz edebiyatının belki de en iyisidir,,en,Muhtemelen bir gün benzer bir şey pişireceğim çünkü kitabı nasıl özetlediğini anlıyorum.,,en,ve zıt baş karakterlere yansıyan, sahipler ve olmayanlar arasındaki eşitsizliği vurgular.,,en,Nasıl çalıştığını görüyorum ve onu kurallar yemek kitabıma asimile edebilirim,,en,nasıl olduğunu anlayabilirsem,,en,ve asimilasyon süreci doğası gereği matematikseldir,,en,özellikle bilinçli bir çaba olduğunda,,en,Benzer bulanık kural tabanlı yaklaşımlar, makul derecede zeki bir sanatçı olmanıza yardımcı olabilir,,en,işçi,,en, it was the worst of times.” As an opening sentence, by all the mathematical rules of writing I have formulated for myself, this one just doesn’t measure up. Yet we all know that Dickens’s opening, following no rules of mine, is perhaps the best in English literature. I will probably cook up something similar someday because I see how it summarizes the book, and highlights the disparity between the haves and the have-nots mirrored in the contrasting lead characters and so on. In other words, I see how it works and may assimilate it into my cookbook of rules (if I can ever figure out how), and the process of assimilation is mathematical in nature, especially when it is a conscious effort. Similar fuzzy rule-based approaches can help you be a reasonably clever artist, employee, yönetici veya gözünü diktiğin herhangi bir şey,,en,bu yüzden bir keresinde eşime neredeyse ton sağır olmama rağmen Hint klasik müziğini öğrenebileceğimi söyledim.,,en,Yani matematiği sevmek muhtemelen iyi bir şey,,en,amigo kızlara karşı bariz dezavantajına rağmen,,en,Ama henüz ana temama değinmedim,,en,gelecek nesiller arasında aktif bir şekilde matematik sevgisini nasıl teşvik eder ve geliştiririz,,en,İnsanları matematikte iyi yapmaktan bahsetmiyorum,,en,Tek başına öğretim teknikleriyle ilgilenmiyorum,,en,Bence Singapur zaten bununla iyi bir iş çıkarıyor,,en,Ama insanların matematiği sevdikleri gibi sevmelerini sağlamak için,,en,müzikleri, arabaları, sigaraları veya futbolu biraz daha hayal gücü gerektirir,,en,Altta yatan kalıpları ön planda tutarak başarabileceğimizi düşünüyorum.,,en, which is why I once bragged to my wife that I could learn Indian classical music despite the fact that I am practically tone-deaf.

So loving math is a probably a good thing, in spite of its apparent disadvantage vis-a-vis cheerleaders. But I am yet to address my central theme — how do we actively encourage and develop a love for math among the next generation? I am not talking about making people good at math; I’m not concerned with teaching techniques per se. I think Singapore already does a good job with that. But to get people to like math the same way they like, say, their music or cars or cigarettes or football takes a bit more imagination. I think we can accomplish it by keeping the underlying patterns on the foreground. Yani çocuklarıma bunu söylemek yerine,,en,den daha büyük,,en,den daha küçük,,en,Onlara söylüyorum,,en,Bazı çocuklar için bir pizza ısmarlarsın,,en,Sence paylaşan dört çocuğumuz veya altı çocuğumuz olsaydı, her biri daha fazlasını alacak mı?,,en,Coğrafi mesafeler ve derecelerle ilgili önceki örneğimden,,en,Sanırım kızım bir gün her dereceyi anlayacak,,en,veya yaklaşık 100km,,en,tarafından düzeltildi,,en,dört dakikalık jet gecikmesi anlamına gelir,,en,Merak bile edebilir neden,,en,derece ve dakika ve saniye olarak görünür,,en,sayı sistemi temeli hakkında bir şeyler öğrenin ve,,en,Matematik gerçekten hayata dair daha zengin bir bakış açısına yol açar,,en,Bize düşen tek şey, belki de sadece bu zenginliğin tadını çıkarmanın zevkini paylaşmaktır.,,en,bu benim umudum,,en,Matematik Aşkı,,en,Matematiği seviyorsan,,en,sen bir ineksin,,en,Geleceğiniz için hisse senedi seçenekleri ile,,en,ama amigo kız yok,,en 1/4 is bigger than 1/6 because 4 is smaller than 6, I say to them, “You order one pizza for some kids. Do you think each will get more if we had four kids or six kids sharing it?”

From my earlier example on geographic distances and degrees, I fancy my daughter will one day figure out that each degree (or about 100km — corrected by 5% and 6%) means four minutes of jet lag. She might even wonder why 60 appears in degrees and minutes and seconds, and learn something about number system basis and so on. Mathematics really does lead to a richer perspective on life. All it takes on our part is perhaps only to share the pleasure of enjoying this richness. At least, that’s my hope.

Love of Math

If you love math, you are a geek — with stock options in your future, but no cheerleaders. Yani bir çocuğun matematiği sevmesi şüpheli bir hediyedir,,en,gerçekten onlara iyilik yapıyor muyuz,,en,yüksek mevkide bir arkadaşım bana bakmamı istedi,,en,sadece birkaç çocuğun matematiğe ilgi duyması olarak değil,,en,ama ülkede genel bir eğitim çabası olarak,,en,Genel bir fenomen haline geldiğinde,,en,Matematik dehası çocuklar, aynı sosyal kabul ve popülerlik düzeyine sahip olabilir.,,en,atletler ve rock yıldızları,,en,Hüsn-ü kuruntu,,en,Olabilir,,en,Ben her zaman matematiği seven insanlar arasındaydım,,en,Bir arkadaşımın fizik deneyleri sırasında uzun çarpma ve bölme yaptığı lise günlerimi hatırlıyorum.,,en,logaritmalara bakmak ve ilk adamı yenmek için başka bir arkadaşımla ekip kurarken,,en,kim neredeyse her zaman kazandı,,en,Kimin kazandığı gerçekten önemli değildi,,en — are we really doing them a favor? Recently, a highly placed friend of mine asked me to look into it — not merely as getting a couple of kids interested in math, but as a general educational effort in the country. Once it becomes a general phenomenon, math whizkids might enjoy the same level of social acceptance and popularity as, say, athletes and rock stars. Wishful thinking? May be…

I was always among people who liked math. I remember my high school days where one of my friends would do the long multiplication and division during physics experiments, while I would team up with another friend to look up logarithms and try to beat the first dude, who almost always won. It didn’t really matter who won; Gençler olarak böyle oyunlar oynayacağımız gerçeği belki de amigo kızların olmadığı bir geleceğe işaret ediyordu,,en,Ortaya çıktı,,en,uzun süre çarpma yapan adam, Orta Doğu'da yüksek mevkide bir bankacı olarak büyüdü,,en,Hiç şüphe yok ki yetenekleri sayesinde amigo kız fobisi değil,,en,matematiksel tür,,en,HTE'ye taşındığımda,,en,bu matematiksel geeklik tamamen yeni bir seviyeye ulaştı,,en,HTE havasına nüfuz eden genel kurnazlık arasında bile,,en,Göze çarpan birkaç adamı hatırlıyorum,,en,Oradaydı,,en,Dolandırıcı,,en,aynı zamanda beni bakire Yalıçapkını ile tanıştırmaktan şüphe duyan,,en,Ağrı,,en,çok acı çekerdi,,en,Açıkçası Yaar,,en,Biz ne zaman,,en,küçük inekler,,en,kendi matematiksel akrobasi çizgisini kolayca takip edemedi,,en,Hepimizin matematik aşkı vardı,,en,nereden geldi,,en. As it turned out, the long-multiplication guy grew up to be a highly placed banker in the Middle East, no doubt thanks to his talents not of the cheerleader-phobic, math-phelic kind.

When I moved to IIT, this mathematical geekiness reached a whole new level. Even among the general geekiness that permeated the IIT air, I remember a couple of guys who stood out. There was “Devious” who also had the dubious honor of introducing me to my virgin Kingfisher, and “Pain” would drawl a very pained “Obviously Yaar!” when we, the lesser geeks, failed to readily follow a his particular line of mathematical acrobatics.

All of us had a love for math. But, where did it come from? Ve bunu nasıl genel bir eğitim aracı haline getirebilirim?,,en,Bir çocuğa aşk matematiğini vermek çok zor değil,,en,sen sadece eğlenceli hale getiriyorsun,,en,Geçen gün kızımla gezerken,,en,bazı şekil tarif etti,,en,aslında büyükannesinin alnındaki yumru,,en,yarım top olarak,,en,Ona bunun aslında bir yarım küre olduğunu söyledim,,en,Sonra ona güney yarımküreye gideceğimizi vurguladım,,en,Yeni Zelanda,,en,Ertesi gün tatilimiz için,,en,Avrupa ile karşılaştırıldığında dünyanın diğer tarafında,,en,bu yüzden orada yazdı,,en,Ve sonunda,,en,Ona Singapur'un ekvatorda olduğunu söyledim,,en,Kızım insanları düzeltmeyi sever,,en,yani o dedi,,en,değildi,,en,Ona olduğumuzu söyledim,,en,ekvatorun kuzeyindeki derece,,en,Umarım haklıydım,,en,ve açılışımı gördüm,,en? Imparting the love math to one kid is not too difficult; you just make it fun. The other day when I was driving around with my daughter, she described some shape (actually the bump on her grandmother’s forehead) as half-a-ball. I told her that it was actually a hemisphere. Then I highlighted to her that we were going to the southern hemisphere (New Zealand) for our vacation the next day, on the other side of the globe compared to Europe, which was why it was summer there. And finally, I told her Singapore was on the equator. My daughter likes to correct people, so she said, no, it wasn’t. I told her that we were about 0.8 degrees to the north of the equator (I hope I was right), and saw my opening. Ona dairenin çevresinin ne olduğunu sordum,,en,ve ona dünyanın yarıçapının 6000 km olduğunu söyledi,,en,ve ekvatorun yaklaşık 80 km kuzeyinde olduğumuzu anladı,,en,Bu, dünyanın etrafındaki 36.000 km'lik büyük daireye kıyasla hiçbir şeydi,,en,Sonra bir,,en,pi değerine yaklaşım,,en,yani doğru sayı yaklaşık 84km,,en,Ona bir tane daha yaptığımızı söyleyebilirdim,,en,yarıçap üzerine yaklaşım,,en,sayı 90km gibi olur,,en,Bunları halletmek onun için eğlenceliydi,,en,Matematiğe olan sevgisinin biraz arttığını düşünüyorum,,en,Dylan231,,cy,Singapurlu,,en,ebeveynlik Arşivleri,,en, and told her that the radius of the earth was about 6000km, and worked out that we were about 80km to the north of the equator, which was nothing compared to 36,000km great circle around the earth. Then we worked out that we made a 5% approximation on the value of pi, so the correct number was about 84km. I could have told her we made another 6% approximation on the radius, the number would be more like 90km. It was fun for her to work out these things. I fancy her love for math has been augmented a bit.

Photo by Dylan231

Savunmamızda,,en,Mali kriz benim gibi köşe yazarları için gerçek bir altın madeniydi,,en,konuyla ilgili en az beş makale yayınladı,,en,nedenleri dahil,,en,dersler öğrenildi,,en,en çok kendini küçümseyen,,en,aşırılıklarımız,,en,buna katkıda bulunan,,en,Bu yazılarıma bakıyorum,,en,Bize biraz haksız davrandığımı hissediyorum,,en,Açgözlülük suçlamalarımı köreltmeye çalıştım,,en,ve belki çöküş,,en,Müstehcenliği ve Madoff'un beğenilerini ortaya çıkaranın, içinde yaşadığımız dönemin doyumsuz açgözlülüğünün genel havası olduğuna işaret ederek,,en,Ama daha yüksek bir açgözlülüğün varlığını kabul ettim,,en,daha fazlası,,en,daha doyurucu bir açgözlülük,,en,aramızda bankacılar ve sayısal uzmanlar,,en,Şimdi bu parçadaki sözlerimi geri almıyorum,,en,ama başka bir yöne işaret etmek istiyorum,,en

The financial crisis was a veritable gold mine for columnists like me. I, for one, published at least five articles on the subject, including its causes, the lessons learned, and, most self-deprecating of all, our excesses that contributed to it.

Looking back at these writings of mine, I feel as though I may have been a bit unfair on us. I did try to blunt my accusations of avarice (and perhaps decadence) by pointing out that it was the general air of insatiable greed of the era that we live in that spawned the obscenities and the likes of Madoff. But I did concede the existence of a higher level of greed (or, more to the point, a more sated kind of greed) among us bankers and quantitative professionals. I am not recanting my words in this piece now, but I want to point out another aspect, bir affetme değilse bir gerekçe,,en,Küresel şirketleri başka bir halk nefret dalgası yıkarken neden ikramiyeleri ve diğer aşırılıkları savunmak isteyeyim?,,en,potansiyel olarak durdurulamaz petrol sızıntısı sayesinde,,en,Sanırım kayıp nedenler için bir enayiyim,,en,Rhett Butler gibi,,en,Çılgın ikramiyelerle sakin yaşamın nicelikli yolu artık rüzgarla gitti,,en,Bay aksine,,en,Uşak,,en,Daha önce burada sunduğum argümanlar ile savaşmalı ve çürütmeliyim,,en,Delik açmak istediğim argümanlardan biri adil telafi açısıydı.,,en,Çevremizde, dolgun maaş çekinin, çalışma alanımızdaki insanların gösterdiği uzun saatler süren sıkı çalışma için yeterli bir tazminat olduğu tartışılıyordu.,,en,Ben onu bozdum,,en.

Why would I want to defend bonuses and other excesses when another wave of public hatred is washing over the global corporations, thanks to the potentially unstoppable oil spill? Well, I guess I am a sucker for lost causes, much like Rhett Butler, as our quant way of tranquil life with insane bonuses is all but gone with the wind now. Unlike Mr. Butler, however, I have to battle and debunk my own arguments presented here previously.

One of the arguments that I wanted to poke holes in was the fair compensation angle. It was argued in our circles that the fat paycheck was merely an adequate compensation for the long hours of hard work that people in our line of work put in. I quashed it, I think, insanların daha çok çalıştıkları ve daha fazla ödülü olmayan diğer nankör mesleklere işaret ederek,,en,Sıkı çalışmanın, kişinin hak ettiği şeyle hiçbir ilişkisi yoktur,,en,Dalga geçtiğim ikinci argüman, her yerde bulunabilen,,en,yetenek,,en,Mali krizin zirvesinde,,en,yetenek tartışmasına gülmek kolaydı,,en,yetenek için çok az talep vardı ve çok fazla arz vardı,,en,böylece ekonominin temel ilkesi uygulanabilir,,en,kapak hikayemizin bu sayıda gösterdiği gibi,,en,Büyük tazminat paketleri için tüm argümanlardan,,en,en ikna edici olanı kar paylaşımı olandı,,en,En iyi yetenekler büyük riskler aldığında ve kâr elde ettiğinde,,en,ganimetten adil bir pay almaları gerekiyor,,en,Aksi takdirde,,en,daha fazla kar elde etmek için teşvik nerede,,en. Hard work has no correlation with what one is entitled to. The second argument that I made fun of was the ubiquitous “talent” angle. At the height of the financial crisis, it was easy to laugh off the talent argument. Besides, there was little demand for the talent and a lot of supply, so that the basic principle of economics could apply, as our cover story shows in this issue.

Of all the arguments for large compensation packages, the most convincing one was the profit-sharing one. When the top talents take huge risks and generate profit, they need to be given a fair share of the loot. Otherwise, where is the incentive to generate even more profits? Bu argüman, negatif karlar geldiğinde biraz ısırdı,,en,bununla gerçekten kayıpları kastediyorum,,en,sübvanse edilmesi gerekiyor,,en,Bütün bu efsane bana Scott Adams'ın bir zamanlar risk alanlar hakkında söylediği bir şeyi hatırlattı.,,en,Risk alanların,,en,tanım olarak,,en,genellikle başarısız olur,,en,Ahmaklar da öyle,,en,onları ayırmak zor,,en,Moronlar güzel ödüller almalı mı,,en,Soru bu,,en,Bütün bunları önceki makalelerimde söylemiştim,,en,Şimdi savunmamızda bazı argümanlar bulma zamanı,,en,Genel tezimi desteklemediği için önceki sütunlarımda önemli bir argümanı atlamıştım.,,en,cömert ikramiyelerin o kadar da haklı olmadığını,,en,Artık kayıp davaya bağlılığımı değiştirdim,,en,elimden geldiğince güçlü bir şekilde sunmama izin ver,,en (by which I indeed mean losses) needed to be subsidized. This whole saga reminded me of something that Scott Adams once said of risk takers. He said that risk takers, by definition, often fail. So do morons. In practice, it is hard to tell them apart. Should the morons reap handsome rewards? That is the question.

Having said all this in my previous articles, now it is time to find some arguments in our defense. I left out one important argument in my previous columns because it did not support my general thesis — that the generous bonuses were not all that justifiable. Now that I have switched allegiance to the lost cause, allow me to present it as forcefully as I can. Tazminat paketlerini ve performans primlerini farklı bir ışıkta görmek için,,en,önce herhangi bir geleneksel gerçek mekanda faaliyet gösteren şirkete,,en,Bir donanım üreticisini düşünelim,,en,Diyelim ki bu hırdavat dükkanımız bir yıl çok iyi gidiyor,,en,Kârla ne yapar,,en,hissedarlar temettü açısından sağlıklı bir ısırık alır,,en,Çalışanlar makul ikramiyeler alıyor,,en,inşallah,,en,Ancak kârlılığın sürekliliğini sağlamak için ne yapıyoruz,,en,Çalışan primlerini gelecekteki karlılığa bir yatırım olarak görebiliriz.,,en,Ancak bu durumda gerçek yatırım bundan çok daha fiziksel ve somuttur.,,en,Donanım üretim makinelerine ve teknolojiye yatırım yapabiliriz, önümüzdeki yıllarda üretkenliği artırabiliriz,,en,Araştırma ve geliştirmeye bile yatırım yapabiliriz,,en, we first look at any traditional brick-and-mortar company. Let’s consider a hardware manufacturer, for instance. Suppose this hardware shop of ours does extremely well one year. What does it do with the profit? Sure, the shareholders take a healthy bite out of it in terms of dividends. The employees get decent bonuses, hopefully. But what do we do to ensure continued profitability?

We could perhaps see employee bonuses as an investment in future profitability. But the real investment in this case is much more physical and tangible than that. We could invest in hardware manufacturing machinery and technology improving the productivity for years to come. We could even invest in research and development, daha uzun bir zamansal ufka abone olursak,,en,Bu çizgiler boyunca bakıyorum,,en,kendimize bir finans kurumu için karşılık gelen yatırımın ne olacağını sorabiliriz,,en,Gelecekte fayda elde edebilmek için tam olarak nasıl yeniden yatırım yapıyoruz?,,en,Daha iyi binalar düşünebiliriz,,en,bilgisayar ve yazılım teknolojileri vb.,,en,Ancak ilgili kârın ölçeği göz önüne alındığında,,en,ve bu artımlı iyileştirmelerin maliyeti ve faydası,,en,bu yatırımlar ölçülmez,,en,Bir şekilde,,en,Bu küçük yatırımların etkisi, bir finans kuruluşunun performansında gerçek mekanda faaliyet gösteren bir şirkete kıyasla etkileyici değildir.,,en,Bu fenomenin arkasındaki sebep şudur:,,en,donanım,,en,halletmeye calisiyoruz,,en,bir finans kurumu durumunda,,en,gerçekten insan kaynakları mı,,en,insanlar,,en,Dolayısıyla, tek mantıklı yeniden yatırım seçeneği insanlarda,,en.

Looking along these lines, we might ask ourselves what the corresponding investment would be for a financial institution. How exactly do we reinvest so that we can reap benefits in the future?

We can think of better buildings, computer and software technologies etc. But given the scale of the profits involved, and the cost and benefit of these incremental improvements, these investments don’t measure up. Somehow, the impact of these tiny investments is not as impressive in the performance of a financial institution compared to a brick-and-mortar company. The reason behind this phenomenon is that the “hardware” we are dealing with (in the case of a financial institution) is really human resources — people — you and me. So the only sensible reinvestment option is in people.

Öyleyse bir sonraki soruya geliyoruz,,en,insanlara nasıl yatırım yaparız,,en,Herhangi bir sayıda örtmece sıfat kullanabiliriz,,en,ama günün sonunda,,en,önemli olan en alt satırdır,,en,İnsanları ödüllendirerek yatırım yapıyoruz,,en,Parasal,,en,Para konuşur,,en,Performansı ödüllendirdiğimizi söyleyerek süsleyebiliriz,,en,kar paylaşımı,,en,yetenekleri korumak vb.,,en,Ama nihayetinde,,en,hepsi gelecekteki üretkenliği sağlamak için azalır,,en,donanım mağazamızın yeni ve şık bir ekipman satın alması gibi,,en,Şimdi son soru sorulmalı,,en,Yatırımı kim yapıyor,,en,Verimlilik ne zaman fayda sağlar,,en,güncel veya gelecek,,en,yükselir,,en,Cevap ilk bakışta çok açık görünebilir,,en,açıkça hissedarlar,,en,yararlanacak finans kuruluşunun sahipleri,,en,Ama küresel finansın karanlık dünyasında hiçbir şey siyah ve beyaz değildir,,en — how do we invest in people? We could use any number of euphemistic epithets, but at the end of the day, it is the bottom line that counts. We invest in people by rewarding them. Monetarily. Money talks. We can dress it up by saying that we are rewarding performance, sharing profits, retaining talents etc. But ultimately, it all boils down to ensuring future productivity, much like our hardware shop buying a fancy new piece of equipment.

Now the last question has to be asked. Who is doing the investing? Who benefits when the productivity (whether current or future) goes up? The answer may seem too obvious at first glance — it is clearly the shareholders, the owners of the financial institution who will benefit. But nothing is black and white in the murky world of global finance. Hissedarlar, sadece sahipliklerini kanıtlayan bir kağıt parçası tutan bir grup insan değildir.,,en,Kurumsal yatırımcılar var,,en,Çoğunlukla diğer finans kurumları için çalışan,,en,Emeklilik fonlarından ve banka mevduatlarından büyük miktarlarda para taşıyan insanlardır.,,en,sıradan insanın yuva yumurtasıdır,,en,hisse senetleriyle açıkça bağlantılı olsun ya da olmasın,,en,büyük halka açık şirketlerin hisselerini satın alan ve satan,,en,Ve teknoloji satın alımları veya ikramiye ödemeleri gibi yatırımların getirdiği verimlilik iyileştirmelerinden yararlanan da sıradan insandır.,,en,teori bu,,en,Bu dağıtılmış sahiplik,,en,kapitalizmin ayırt edici özelliği,,en,bazı ilginç sorular ortaya çıkarır,,en,Büyük bir petrol şirketi deniz tabanında durdurulamaz bir delik açtığında,,en,öfkemizi yöneticilerine yönlendirmeyi kolay buluyoruz,,en. There are institutional investors, who mostly work for other financial institutions. They are people who move large pots of money from pension funds and bank deposits and such. In other words, it is the common man’s nest egg, whether or not explicitly linked to equities, that buys and sells the shares of large public companies. And it is the common man who benefits from the productivity improvements brought about by investments such as technology purchases or bonus payouts. At least, that is the theory.

This distributed ownership, the hallmark of capitalism, raises some interesting questions, I think. When a large oil company drills an unstoppable hole in the seabed, we find it easy to direct our ire at its executives, havalı jetlerine ve kendilerine izin verdikleri diğer ölçüsüz lükslere bakarken,,en,Şirketin bir parçasına hepimizin sahip olduğu gerçeğini rahatlıkla unutmuyor muyuz?,,en,Demokratik bir ulusun seçilmiş hükümeti başka bir ülkeye savaş ilan ettiğinde ve bir milyon insanı öldürdüğünde,,en,varsayımsal olarak konuşmak,,en,suçlu başkanlar ve generallerle sınırlı mı olmalı,,en,yoksa doğrudan veya dolaylı olarak kolektif güçlerini devredip emanet eden kitlelere mi sızmalı?,,en,Konuya daha fazla,,en,Bir banka büyük ikramiyeler dağıttığında,,en,küçük yatırımlarımız karşılığında hepimizin talep ettiklerinin bir yansıması değil mi,,en,Vergi mükelleflerinin nihayetinde her şey ters gittiğinde hesabı ödemek zorunda kalması yanlış mı?,,en,diyeceğimi dedim,,en,finansal çöküş,,en,Graceless Singapurlu,,en,Tabu Konusu,,en. Aren’t we conveniently forgetting the fact that all of us own a piece of the company? When the elected government of a democratic nation declares war on another country and kills a million people (speaking hypothetically, of course), should the culpa be confined to the presidents and generals, or should it percolate down to the masses that directly or indirectly delegated and entrusted their collective power?

More to the point, when a bank doles out huge bonuses, isn’t it a reflection of what all of us demand in return for our little investments? Viewed in this light, is it wrong that the taxpayers ultimately had to pick up the tab when everything went south? I rest my case.

Money — Love it or Hate it

Whatever its raison-d’etre may be, there is a need for more, and an unquenchable greed. And paradoxically, if you want to try to quench a bit of your greed, the best way to do it is to fan the greed in others. This is why the email scams (you know, the Nigerian banker requesting your help in moving $25 million of unclaimed inheritance, or the Spanish lottery eager to give you 67 million Euros) still hold a fascination for us, even when we know that we will never fall for it.

There is only a thin blurry line between the schemes that thrive on other people’s greed and confidence jobs. If you can come up with a scheme that makes money for others, and stay legal (if not moral), then you will make yourself very rich. We see it most directly in the finance and investment industry, but it is much more widespread than that. We can see that even education, traditionally considered a higher pursuit, is indeed an investment against future earnings. Viewed in that light, you will understand the correlation between the tuition fees at various schools and the salaries their graduates command.

When I started writing this column, I thought I was making up this new field called the Philosophy of Money (which, hopefully, somebody would name after me), but then I read up something on the philosophy of mind by John Searle. It turned out that there was nothing patentable in this idea, nor any cash to be made, sadly. Money comes under the umbrella of objective social realities that are quite unreal. In his exposition of the construction of social reality, Searle points out that when they give us a piece of paper and say that it is legal tender, they are actually constructing money by that statement. It is not a statement about its attribute or characteristics (likeThis is a glass of water”) so much as a statement of intentionality that makes something what it is (likeYou are my hero”). The difference between my being a hero (perhaps only to my six-year-old) and money being money is that the latter is socially accepted, and it is as objective a reality as any.

I conclude this article with the nagging suspicion that I may not have argued my point well enough. I started it with the premise that money is an unreal meta-thing, and wound up asserting its objective reality. This ambivalence of mine may be a reflection of our collective love-hate relationship with moneyperhaps not such a bad way to end this column after all.

Photo by 401(K) 2013

Money — Why do We Crave it?

Given that the investment value is also measured and returned in terms of money, we get the notion of compound interest andputting money to work.Those who have money demand returns based on the investment risk they are willing to assume. And the role of modern financial system becomes one of balancing this risk-reward equation. Finance professionals focus on the investment value of money to make oodles of it. It not so much that they take your money as deposits, lend it out as loans, and earn the spread. Those simple times are gone for good. The banks make use of the fact that investors demand the highest possible return for the lowest possible risk. Any opportunity to push this risk-reward envelope is a profit potential. When they make money for you, they demand their compensation and you are happy to pay it.

Put it that way, investment sounds like a positive concept, which it is, in our current mode of thinking. We can easily make it a negative thing by portraying the demand for the investment value of money as greed. It then follows that all of us are greedy, and that it is our greed that fuels the insane compensation packages of top-level executives. Greed also fuels fraudponzi and pyramid schemes.

Indeed, any kind of strong feeling that you have can be bought and sold for personal gain of others. It may be your genuine sympathy for the Tsunami or earthquake victims, your voyeuristic disgust at the peccadilloes of golf icons or presidents, charitable feeling toward kidney patients of whatever. And the way money is made out of your feelings may not be obvious at all. Watching the news five minutes longer than usual because of a natural disaster may bring extra fortune to the network’s coffers. But of all the human frailties one can make money out of, the easiest is greed, I think. Well, I may be wrong; it may actually be that frailty that engendered the oldest profession. But I would think that the profession based on the lucrative frailty of greed wasn’t all that far behind.

If we want to exploit other people’s greed, the first thing to ask ourselves is this: why do we want money, given that it is a meta-entity? I know, we all need money to live. But I am not talking about the need part. Assuming the need part is taken care of, we still want more of it. Why? Say you are a billionaire. Why would you want another billion? I think the answer lies in something philosophical, something of an existential angst, although those with their billions would the last ones to admit it. The reason behind this deep-rooted need for more is a quest for a validation, or a justification for our existence, and a meaning and purpose for our life. It is all part of that metaphorical holy grail. I know, it sounds a bit nutty, but what else could it be? The Des Cartes of our time would say, “I have loads of money, therefore I am!”

The Ultra Rich

Let’s first take a look at how people make money. Loads of it. Apparently, it is one of the most frequently searched phrases in Google, and the results usually attempt to separate you from your cash rather than help you make more of it.

To be fair, this column won’t give you any get-rich-quick, sure-fire schemes or strategies. What it will tell you is why and how some people make money, and hopefully uncover some new insights. You may be able to put some of these insights to work and make yourself richif that’s where you think your happiness lies.

By now, it is clear to most people that they cannot become filthy rich by working for somebody else. In fact, that statement is not quite accurate. CEOs and top executives all work for the shareholders of the companies that employ them, but are filthy rich. At least, some of them are. But, in general, it is true that you cannot make serious money working in a company, statistically speaking.

Working for yourselfif you are very lucky and extremely talentedyou may make a bundle. When we hear the wordrich,” the people that come to mind tend to be

  1. entrepreneurs/industrialists/software mogulslike Bill Gates, Richard Branson etc.,
  2. celebritiesactors, writers etc.,
  3. investment professionalsWarren Buffet, for instance, and
  4. fraudsters of the Madoff school.

There is a common thread that runs across all these categories of rich people, and the endeavors that make them their money. It is the notion of scalability. To understand it well, let’s look at why there is a limit to how much money you can make as a professional. Let’s say you are a very successful, highly-skilled professionalsay a brain surgeon. You charge $10k a surgery, of which you perform one a day. So you make about $2.5 million a year. Serious money, no doubt. How do you scale it up though? By working twice as long and charging more, may be you can make $5 million or $10 million. But there is a limit you won’t be able to go beyond.

The limit comes about because the fundamental economic transaction involves selling your time. Although your time may be highly-skilled and expensive, you have only 24 hours of it in a day to sell. That is your limit.

Now take the example of, say, John Grisham. He spends his time researching and writing his best-selling books. In that sense, he sells his time as well. But the big difference is that he sells it to many people. And the number of people he sells his product to may have an exponential dependence on its quality and, therefore, the time he spends on it.

We can see a similar pattern in software products like Windows XP, performances by artists, sports events, movies and so on. One performance or accomplishment is sold countless times. With a slight stretch of imagination, we can say that entrepreneurs are also selling their time (that they spend setting up their businesses) multiple times (to customers, clients, passengers etc.) All these money-spinners work hard to develop some kind of exponential volume-dependence on the quality of their products or the time they spend on them. This is the only way to address the scalability issue that comes about due to the paucity of time.

Investment professionals (bankers) do it too. They develop new products and ideas that they can sell to the masses. In addition, they make use of a different aspect of money that we touched upon in an earlier column. You see, money has a transactional value. It plays the role of a medium facilitating economic exchanges. In financial transactions, however, money becomes the entity that is being transacted. Financial systems essentially move money from savings and transforms it into capital. Thus money takes on an investment value, in addition to its intrinsic transactional value. This investment value is the basis of interest.

Philosophy of Money

Money is a strange thing. It is quite unlike any other “thing” that we know. Its value manifests itself only in a social context where we have pre-agreed conventions as to what it should be. In this sense, money is not a thing at all, but a meta-thing, which is why you are happy when your boss gives you a letter stating that you got a fat bonus even though you never actually see the physical thing. Well, if it is not physical, it is metaphysical, and we can certainly talk about the philosophy of money.

The first indication of the meta-ness of money comes from the fact that it has a value only when we assign it a value. It doesn’t possess an intrinsic value that, for instance, water does. If you are thirsty, you find that water has enormous intrinsic value. Of course, if you have money, you can buy water (or Perrier, if you want to be sophisticated), and quench your thirst.

But we may find ourselves in situations where we may not be able to buy things with money. Stranded in a desert, for instance, dying of thirst, we may not be able to buy water despite our sky-high credit limits or the hundreds of dollars we may have in our wallet. One reason for this inability of ours is obvious – we may be alone. The basic transactional value of money evaporates when we have nobody to transact with.

The second dimension of the meta-ness of money is economical. It is illustrated in the well-worn supply-and-demand principle, assuming transactional liquidity (which is a term I just cooked up to sound erudite, I confess). I mean to say, even if we have willing sellers of water in the desert, they may see that we are dying for it and jack up the price – just because we are willing and able to pay. This apparent ripping off on the part of the devious vendors of water (perfectly legal, by the way) is possible only if the commodity in question is in plentiful supply. We need commodity liquidity, as it were.

It is when the liquidity dries up that the fun begins. The last drop of water in a desert has infinite intrinsic value. This effect may look similar to the afore-mentioned supply-and-demand phenomenon, but it really is different. The intrinsic value dominates everything else, much like the strong force over short distances in particle physics. And this domination is the flipside of the law of diminishing marginal utility in economics.

The thing that looks a bit bizarre about money is that it seems to run counter to the law of diminishing marginal utility. The more money you have, the more you want it. Now, why is that? It is especially strange given its lack of intrinsic value. Great financial minds could not figure it out, but came up with pithy and memorable statements like, “Greed, for lack of a better word, is good.” Although that particular genius was only fictional, he does epitomize much of the thinking in the modern corporate and financial world. Good or bad, let’s assume that greed is an essential part of human nature and look at what we can do with it. Note that I want to do something “with” it, not “about” it – an important distinction. I, intrepid columnist that I am, want to show you how to use other people’s greed to make more money.

Photo by 401(K) 2013